Tonight I appeared on another podcast, this time to give my take on Trump’s position regarding Ukraine and Iran, and what it means to put “America first.”
Synopsis:
-Trump isn’t “pro-Russia” and no one in Russia even thinks this. It is true he could end the war in one day if he wanted to, due to Ukraine’s complete dependency on American intelligence and material aid, but Trump chooses not to. He wants the best deal possible. But if Trump lingers too long – the date I gave is Winter 2025 – then “Biden’s war” will become “Trump’s war.”
Ian Kummer
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There was mention of Israel going it alone (to bomb Iran) during the discussion.
This is similar to the people stating that Ukraine is targeting Russian energy facilities in contravention to Trump’s/USA partial ceasefire, or targeting ATACMs against US policy while US cuts off their ISR.
There is no such thing, and we know this from lots of testimony from those present as well as military staff and political figures such as Scholz.
–Israel needs to fly over Jordanian & Iraqi airspace — impossible without US permission.
–Israel needs refueling assets and flanking squadrons.
–They need permission to use American weapons & ordinance; the US has total leverage if it threatens to cut any off.
–They need ISR from American satellites, as well as real-time terrein reconnaissance, target selection, terrein mapping.
–In the case of UA, all co-ordinates are vetted by US/NATO personnel; the notion that drones can be programmed to hug terrein, home in on targets, weaving between mobile Russian AD assets to strike hundreds of kilometers deep into Russia without US/NATO programming based on US ISR assets is fanciful.
–They need AWACs and EW assets in the air.
–They need to configure decryption modules to process American signals for positioning and targeting.
The American role in all this is active technical facilitation and hands-on action.
Any dissembling about American proxies doing their own thing and plausible deniability, pretending America is a neutral party above the fray, striving for peace, is entirely disingenuous, serving only marketing narratives in the sphere of public discourse, but entirely separate from any real considerations that guide action.