Geopolitics

Intrigue in Belarus and What it Means for Ukraine

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Intrigue in Belarus and What it Means for Ukraine

The plot thickens. Russian authorities claim to have foiled a planned assassination attempt against the Belorussian president, Alexander Lukashenko. Two men were allegedly in Moscow to meet with disloyal Belorussian generals to discuss murdering Lukashenko on May 9, Victory Day. Lukashenko also alleges a kidnapping conspiracy against his family.

While significant in itself, assassinating Lukashenko correlates with the standoff simmering in Ukraine. The Black Sea Fleet currently maintains total superiority and could effortlessly sink the entire Ukrainian navy within minutes of hostilities breaking out. Russia has combined arms units assembled in Crimea, along the Eastern border of Ukraine, and in Belarus, creating a three-sided “cauldron” that could potentially end a shooting war almost before it started.

Landships, Horses, and Feet

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The Lesson of War is That There is No Lesson

If you had to compare war to a sport, which one would you choose? Football? Soccer? Tennis? No. Imagine a game of dodgeball, except with ten balls for every player, no breaks whatsoever, and both sides are toddlers. That’s war. If you make it five seconds into the game without your team disintegrating into chaos, be grateful. You got farther than most.