military

The Ukraine war is the single most baffling thing I’ve ever seen in my life, even more baffling than the pandemic. “We have to help Ukraine against Russia” is a reasonable and defensible statement, but virtually every pro-Ukraine person I have encountered is irrational. I could go on at length about how every NATO talking point is absurd, but I’ve already done that many times before. Today I’m going to talk focus specifically on operational risk management.

Ukraine has many problems, and perhaps the most serious problem is that they are dependent on western weapons that all resemble ED 209, the “urban pacification” security drone from Robocop.

In the past 18 months we have seen large scale offensives in the Ukraine. The first offensive, by Russian forces against NATO-trained defenders. Now we are seeing the reverse, with an offensive by NATO-trained forces against Russian defenders. What successes, mistakes, and patterns have we seen so far?