Lessons From Ukraine’s August “Incursion” – Blitzkrieg Died At Kursk (Again)

I finally decided to write something in detail about the Ukrainian “incursion” into Kursk, as Wikipedia is calling it (bad guys do “invasions,” good guys do “incursions” and “interventions”). Nine days into this thing, what can be learned from publicly available information? What’s most interesting to me is that I actually predicted such a northward … Read more

NATO’s “Lessons from the Russian War on Ukraine” Are All Things I said 2 Years Ago

Last month, retired Lt. Col. Alex Vershinin published an article about lessons learned from Ukraine, mainly, that the era of dramatic territorial gains through “maneuver warfare” might be over, using the same arguments and citing the same historical examples I made in early 2022. What’s particularly interesting about Vershinin saying this is that I cited … Read more

Debunking the myth of the “infantry screen”

Today let’s talk about the myth of the infantry screen. This myth is extremely pervasive but there’s really no basis for the idea and I’m not even sure when exactly it started. Look at any war movie clip on YouTube showing infantry behind (rather than in front of) tanks and the comments section will always … Read more

Operational Risk Management (or lack of it) in Ukraine

The Ukraine war is the single most baffling thing I’ve ever seen in my life, even more baffling than the pandemic. “We have to help Ukraine against Russia” is a reasonable and defensible statement, but virtually every pro-Ukraine person I have encountered is irrational. I could go on at length about how every NATO talking point is absurd, but I’ve already done that many times before. Today I’m going to talk focus specifically on operational risk management.