The CENTCOM Airstrikes Suggest Syria Is Deteriorating

Nothing good is happening from the American perspective. Even as a cynic, I am actually astonished at how fast this situation is deteriorating. Yesterday’s CENTCOM press release was basically a template. An extremely vague description of bombing “ISIS” along with a boilerplate justification and a copy/pasted quote from a general. If you ask why I’m … Read more

Will Russia Leave Syria?

Here’s a quick write-up I shared to Quora yesterday. Apparently I am the minority in this opinion and have been arguing with people about it, including Russians, funnily enough. Russia has two major bases in Syria, Tartus and Latakia. Rebel forces have control of the surrounding areas at both of these bases. They could attack … Read more

How Much Longer Does Ukraine Have?

With accelerating Russian gains in Donbass and the implied political shift accompanying Trump into office next month there is an equivalent increase in speculation about how much longer the war will last. That is a tough question so let’s quickly review what happened from the start of the SMO. First off, it is fair to … Read more