Operational Risk Management (or lack of it) in Ukraine

The Ukraine war is the single most baffling thing I’ve ever seen in my life, even more baffling than the pandemic. “We have to help Ukraine against Russia” is a reasonable and defensible statement, but virtually every pro-Ukraine person I have encountered is irrational. I could go on at length about how every NATO talking point is absurd, but I’ve already done that many times before. Today I’m going to talk focus specifically on operational risk management.

Potpourri

Hi there, I know you missed me a lot (ok, maybe you didn’t). I’ve been recently active on Quora (please, follow here), but I cannot let you miss on my precious content. So here is a potpourri of some longer posts and replies I made there recently and consider worth sharing. Question (original spelling and … Read more

How Much Manpower Does Ukraine Have Left?

It’s a tough question that takes some work to frame properly. First off, none of the stated conditions for Ukrainian victory as defined by both Ukraine and their NATO sponsors had any chance of happening. –Restore Ukraine to its 1991 border. There was no chance of this happening, none at all. Ironically, restoring the 2014 border was absolutely … Read more