Western media outlets claimed that the third phase of the war began with the Ukrainian offensives in the first half of September. I strongly disagree. Rather, these offensives marked the end of the third phase, and they failed to achieve their intended goals. The upcoming referendum in the Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions to join the Russian Federation, this is the beginning of the fourth phase. It also appears that back in August I correctly predicted the objectives of Ukraine’s offensives, and it seems they utterly failed.